Post by Richie3Jack on Oct 8, 2014 8:10:31 GMT -5
Since each team has played at least 4 games so far, I'm starting with my Projected Win totals.
This is based on an algorithm that factors in key metrics such as:
1 Points Score
2. Yards Gained
3. Points Allowed
4 Yards Allowed
5. Offensive QB Rating
6. Defensive QB Rating Allowed
7. Turnover Margin
8. Adjusted Sacks Allowed Rate (from FO.com)
The algorithm is based on NFL data dating back to 1999. Eventually we will see teams that have more actual losses than projected, but the idea is in part to give what their projected wins should be at the current play of the game. So, if a team finished 7-9 and was projected to go 10-6, something went wrong outside of those metrics. For instance, they may have faced a tough schedule or poor game management by the head coach (Mike Tice was the worst offender of this ever) costs them some wins.
In this scenario, the Chargers are currently playing like a team that would be the best in football right now and the Jaguars playing like the worst team in football:
1. San Diego Chargers: 13.32
2. Cincinnati Bengals: 13.12
3. Green Bay Packers: 12.73
4. Denver Broncos: 11.39
5. Indianapolis Colts: 10.87
6. New York Giants: 10.61
7. Baltimore Ravens: 10.00
8. Houston Texans: 9.91
9. Seattle Seahawks: 9.77
10. New England Patriots: 9.41
11. Buffalo Bills: 9.22
12. Dallas Cowboys: 8.88
13. Philadelphia Eagles: 8.73
14. Arizona Cardinals: 8.38
15. San Francisco 49ers: 8.31
16. Detroit Lions: 8.18
17. Chicago Bears: 8.00
18. Cleveland Browns: 7.98
19. Atlanta Falcons: 7.93
20. Carolina Panthers: 7.86
21. Kansas City Chiefs: 7.85
22. Miami Dolphins: 7.82
23. Pittsburgh Steelers: 7.18
24. New Orleans Saints: 6.37
25. Washington Redskins: 5.33
26. Oakland Raiders: 5.29
27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 5.21
28. St. Louis Rams: 4.66
29. Tennessee Titans: 4.52
30. Minnesota Vikings: 4.11
31. New York Jets: 2.96
32. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1.44
3JACK
This is based on an algorithm that factors in key metrics such as:
1 Points Score
2. Yards Gained
3. Points Allowed
4 Yards Allowed
5. Offensive QB Rating
6. Defensive QB Rating Allowed
7. Turnover Margin
8. Adjusted Sacks Allowed Rate (from FO.com)
The algorithm is based on NFL data dating back to 1999. Eventually we will see teams that have more actual losses than projected, but the idea is in part to give what their projected wins should be at the current play of the game. So, if a team finished 7-9 and was projected to go 10-6, something went wrong outside of those metrics. For instance, they may have faced a tough schedule or poor game management by the head coach (Mike Tice was the worst offender of this ever) costs them some wins.
In this scenario, the Chargers are currently playing like a team that would be the best in football right now and the Jaguars playing like the worst team in football:
1. San Diego Chargers: 13.32
2. Cincinnati Bengals: 13.12
3. Green Bay Packers: 12.73
4. Denver Broncos: 11.39
5. Indianapolis Colts: 10.87
6. New York Giants: 10.61
7. Baltimore Ravens: 10.00
8. Houston Texans: 9.91
9. Seattle Seahawks: 9.77
10. New England Patriots: 9.41
11. Buffalo Bills: 9.22
12. Dallas Cowboys: 8.88
13. Philadelphia Eagles: 8.73
14. Arizona Cardinals: 8.38
15. San Francisco 49ers: 8.31
16. Detroit Lions: 8.18
17. Chicago Bears: 8.00
18. Cleveland Browns: 7.98
19. Atlanta Falcons: 7.93
20. Carolina Panthers: 7.86
21. Kansas City Chiefs: 7.85
22. Miami Dolphins: 7.82
23. Pittsburgh Steelers: 7.18
24. New Orleans Saints: 6.37
25. Washington Redskins: 5.33
26. Oakland Raiders: 5.29
27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 5.21
28. St. Louis Rams: 4.66
29. Tennessee Titans: 4.52
30. Minnesota Vikings: 4.11
31. New York Jets: 2.96
32. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1.44
3JACK