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Post by Richie3Jack on Mar 31, 2015 12:44:07 GMT -5
2015 Pro Golf Synopsis is already being typed and I am conducting some new research for the latest version.
I am probably going to have a Web site built, but it will be mostly a place where people can purchase the e-book and the older versions of the e-book along with Tour players being able to contact me if they want to work together and statistical analysis.
Some of the new research will be looking at Tour performance on doglegs, laying up when they have to lay-up and performance based on the shafts they use. I am hoping to do Pro Golf Synopsis in conjunction with a few select golf instructors to where they can provide a video in the pdf with their advice or analysis on a certain subject.
The blog will still remain and I have been contemplating adding something new to the blog, but I will see if I have the time to do it.
Any suggestions for statistical research is always greatly appreciated.
3JACK
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Post by Richie3Jack on Oct 1, 2015 16:12:58 GMT -5
I'm almost finished with 1 of the hardest parts of Pro Golf Synopsis...compiling and organizing the information.
I have some exciting new data that I have collected. If anything, I hope that it will change the way golfer's think about the game and how coaches think about teaching their students and how parents thinking about helping about with their child on the golf course. It's not easy and takes a lot of ingraining. I've been talking to my friend, instructor Justin Blazer, about it and he really likes it. Justin is about as good as it gets at getting young kids to Pinehurst. It's amazing, the parents that listen to him get their kid to Pinehurst and the parents that don't listen to him, wonder why their child struggles. And I'm talking about parents that pay for lessons with Justin...then do the exact opposite of what he says.
Anyway...the plan is to still have the book out on the first week of December. There ended up being 184 golfers on Tour that qualified statistically. Neither Rory or Tiger were one of them.
As always, I'm looking for ways to simplify the game. I have used the '4 Cornerstones of the Game' which have been finishing in the top-half on Tour in:
- Driving Effectiveness - Red Zone Play (175-225 yards) - Short Game shots from 10-20 yards - Putts Gained
This season the following players accomplished that:
Jason Day Jordan Spieth Henrik Stenson Rickie Fowler Kevin Kisner Jerry Kelly Bubba Watson Kevin Chappell Ryan Moore Ryan Palmer Hideki Matsuyama
They made a median earnings of $3,758,629 this year.
But, like I said...I'm always looking to tweak it. Last year I changed it to the following.
- Driving Effectiveness - Red Zone Play (175-225 yards) - Short Game shots from 10-20 yards - Make % from 3-15 feet (was Putts Gained total)
The following made that list last season:
Justin Rose Jim Furyk Jordan Spieth Henrik Stenson Hideki Matsuyama Jason Day Justin Thomas Bubba Watson Rickie Fowler Keegan Bradley David Lingmerth John Senden Jerry Kelly Ryan Palmer Kevin Kisner J.B. Holmes Kevin Chappell
That's a median earnings of $3,732,664.
So, pretty much the same result.
I've know tried to modify it to the following criteria of being in the top half in:
- Driving Effectiveness - Red Zone Play (175-225 yards) - Short Game shots from 10-20 yards - Make % from 5-15 feet (was Putts Gained total and then putting from 3-15 feet) - Ball Speed
The players that accomplished that in 2014-2015 were:
Henrik Stenson Ryan Palmer Bubba Watson Keegan Bradley Jordan Spieth Kevin Chappell Justin Rose Jason Day Justin Thomas J.B. Holmes Hideki Matsuyama Rickie Fowler
That led to median earnings of $4,396,250
This bodes well for Bradley who had a disappointing season and Chappell, who got injured in the winter and got off to a slow start.
It also goes to show how much power and ball speed do matter. I've heard some other statisticians claim that 'distance is the most overrated metric in golf' which couldn't be further from the truth. In fact, at East Lake the average club speed was at 116.6 mph and that's the top-30 players at the end of the year.
I wouldn't recommend trying to teach a Tour player to hit the ball further because they are at the point where they probably can't make that change unless they take about a year off and utilize proper movement training with expertise speed training from people like Kelvin Miyahira or Lucas Wald. However, I would try and preach it to junior and collegiate golfers...at the very least seek ways to generate more club speed because that's what the best in the world tend to do.
3JACK
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