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Post by Richie3Jack on Dec 28, 2011 8:50:52 GMT -5
Biggest rise was the Bills (+0.81), biggest drop was the Bears (-0.86)
Green Bay Packers…………….13.73…(+0.32) San Francisco 49ers………….12.27…(-0.00) New England Patriots……….12.01…(-0.06) New Orleans Saints…………….11.10…(+0.23) Houston Texans………………….11.03…(-0.41) Detroit Lions……………………….10.95…(+0.51) Baltimore Ravens……………….10.68…(0.00) Dallas Cowboys………………….10.35…(+0.10) Tennessee Titans………………….9.83…(+0.05) Cincinnati Bengals……………….9.78…(+0.39) Atlanta Falcons………………….9.61…(-0.76) Seattle Seahawks………………….9.13…(-0.06) New York Jets……………………….8.85…(-0.58) Pittsburgh Steelers……………….8.67…(+0.38) New York Giants…………………….8.60…(+0.40) Buffalo Bills………………………….8.29…(+0.81) Cleveland Browns………………….7.50…(+0.34) Miami Dolphins…………………….7.16…(-0.31) San Diego Chargers……………….7.10…(-0.76) Oakland Raiders………………….7.05…(+0.02) Chicago Bears…………………….7.02…(-0.86) Philadelphia Eagles………….6.74…(+0.47) Carolina Panthers…………….6.49…(+0.62) Jacksonville Jaguars………….5.83…(+0.13) Washington Redskins……….5.19…(-0.27) Arizona Cardinals…………….5.17…(-0.24) Kansas City Chiefs…………….5.06…(+0.11) Denver Broncos………………….4.15…(-0.77) Tampa Bay Buccaneers……….3.76…(-0.47) St. Louis Rams…………………….3.50…(-0.22) Indianapolis Colts…………….3.30…(+0.10) Minnesota Vikings…………….3.22…(+0.58)
I still like my preseason picks for the Super Bowl, Packers vs. the Ravens.
3JACK
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Post by 94monarch on Dec 28, 2011 19:11:47 GMT -5
You may well be right. If the Ravens beat Cincy this weekend I think that has the best probability (Pack vs Crows). If the Ravens have to beat Pitt and New England on the road I doubt that. I am guessing SF has a better chance in Lambeau than The Saints, just because of possible weather and the Niners run it better and have two solid DEnds. The best two weeks of the year (other than the Masters and Ryder Cup) are on tap.
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Post by Richie3Jack on Dec 28, 2011 19:21:55 GMT -5
Some things to look out for statistics-wise:
- Typically, Super Bowl winners since the 80's have had at least 40 sacks in the season (2.5 sack/game)
- Typically, the Super Bowl winners have a positive turnover margin.
- The only Super Bowl winner with a negative QB rating differential ever was the 2007 Giants. QB rating - QB rating allowed = QB rating differential (I came up with this stat and it was stolen from me by a professional writer w/o any credit given).
- from 1983 thru 2005, each team that *participated* in the Super Bowl finished in the top 8 in points allowed. It then got a little screwy with the '06 Colts, the '08 Cards and '09 Saints.
I don't have my metrics with me, but the Ravens are one of those teams that fits in everywhere. I'll have to see what other teams fit into that category tomorrow. The Packers are *not* one of those teams. But, they are looking like a team that will just out-score everybody.
3JACK
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