Post by Richie3Jack on Oct 3, 2012 7:44:49 GMT -5
I've been doing this for years. I've created a formula that takes different team metrics in the game and based on the statistical data of over the past 10-seasons in the NFL, I've created a linear regression model that projects a team's wins for the season.
Obviously, as the team gets better or worse as the season progresses,their projected win total can go up or down. But for now, this is essentially how well each team has played so far based on a 10-year trend and historical data.
Houston Texans……….........14.94
Atlanta Falcons………...........13.42
Arizona Cardinals………........10.91
Chicago Bears……….............10.80
New England Patriots.........10.49
Baltimore Ravens……….........10.40
New York Giants………...........10.39
San Diego Chargers………......10.28
San Francisco 49ers……….......9.93
Minnesota Vikings………..........9.81
Denver Broncos………..............9.04
Pittsburgh Steelers……….........8.87
Seattle Seahawks………...........8.74
St. Louis Rams……….................8.11
Tampa Bay Buccaneers………....8.08
Buffalo Bills……….......................8.05
Green Bay Packers………...........7.83
New York Jets………...................7.80
Washington Redskins……….......7.50
Cincinnati Bengals………............6.94
Miami Dolphins………..................6.67
Jacksonville Jaguars………..........6.64
Philadelphia Eagles………...........6.47
New Orleans Saints………..........6.40
Indianapolis Colts……….............6.38
Dallas Cowboys………................6.22
Detroit Lions……….....................6.04
Cleveland Browns……….............5.72
Carolina Panthers……….............5.49
Oakland Raiders………................5.19
Tennessee Titans………..............5.14
Kansas City Chiefs………............1.30
3JACK
Obviously, as the team gets better or worse as the season progresses,their projected win total can go up or down. But for now, this is essentially how well each team has played so far based on a 10-year trend and historical data.
Houston Texans……….........14.94
Atlanta Falcons………...........13.42
Arizona Cardinals………........10.91
Chicago Bears……….............10.80
New England Patriots.........10.49
Baltimore Ravens……….........10.40
New York Giants………...........10.39
San Diego Chargers………......10.28
San Francisco 49ers……….......9.93
Minnesota Vikings………..........9.81
Denver Broncos………..............9.04
Pittsburgh Steelers……….........8.87
Seattle Seahawks………...........8.74
St. Louis Rams……….................8.11
Tampa Bay Buccaneers………....8.08
Buffalo Bills……….......................8.05
Green Bay Packers………...........7.83
New York Jets………...................7.80
Washington Redskins……….......7.50
Cincinnati Bengals………............6.94
Miami Dolphins………..................6.67
Jacksonville Jaguars………..........6.64
Philadelphia Eagles………...........6.47
New Orleans Saints………..........6.40
Indianapolis Colts……….............6.38
Dallas Cowboys………................6.22
Detroit Lions……….....................6.04
Cleveland Browns……….............5.72
Carolina Panthers……….............5.49
Oakland Raiders………................5.19
Tennessee Titans………..............5.14
Kansas City Chiefs………............1.30
3JACK